Zeb Orellios — Spectre Four

+1.0 RE 100% Format Staple ⚖ Compare

Score Breakdown

Expected stat points (empirical avg)	9.4
Actual stats (4/4 power/hp)	8.0
Keyword value	2.0 Keyword breakdown Sentinel: +2.00
Ability value	1.4 Ability breakdown deal_damage: 0.82 RE (when_played x1.25) deal_damage: 0.69 RE (conditional x0.6) conditional_return_typed: 0.00 RE (conditional x0.6) (instead: replaced 0.82 RE from base effect)
Total value	11.4

Premier

Theoretical Δ	Above Curve	+1.0 RE Theoretical breakdown Stats (4/4): +8.0 Keyword value: +2.0 Ability value: +1.4 Expected: −9.4 (empirical) ───────────── Δ stat points: +1.98 ÷ 2 = +0.97 RE
Intrinsic		+1.0 RE
Contextual		+0.0 RE
Adjusted Δ	Significantly Overcosted	-2.8 RE Adjusted breakdown Theoretical: +0.97 RE Win rate: 44.3% Meta share: 5.1% Avg copies (MD): 2.8 Tournament RE: -2.84 Play-pattern Δ: +0.00 Meta weight: 0.38 ───────────── Adjusted: -2.80 RE

Adjusted Δ blends the theoretical score with tournament performance. This card has a 44.3% win rate across 5.1% of the meta, averaging 2.8 copies per deck. Tournament data pulls this card below its paper value.

Eternal

Theoretical Δ	Above Curve	+0.7 RE Theoretical breakdown Stats (4/4): +8.0 Keyword value: +2.0 Ability value: +1.1 Expected: −9.6 (empirical) ───────────── Δ stat points: +1.46 ÷ 2 = +0.73 RE
Intrinsic		+0.7 RE
Contextual		+0.0 RE
Adjusted Δ	Significantly Overcosted	-8.5 RE Adjusted breakdown Theoretical: +0.73 RE Win rate: 24.2% Meta share: 2.6% Avg copies (MD): 2.8 Tournament RE: -12.90 Play-pattern Δ: +0.02 Meta weight: 0.25 ───────────── Adjusted: -8.55 RE

Adjusted Δ blends the theoretical score with tournament performance. This card has a 24.2% win rate across 2.6% of the meta, averaging 2.8 copies per deck. Tournament data pulls this card below its paper value.