First Light — Threatening Elegance

+2.3 RE 100% ⚖ Compare

Score Breakdown

Expected stat points (empirical avg)	12.6
Actual stats (5/7 power/hp)	12.0
Keyword value	5.0 Keyword breakdown Ambush: +2.00 Plot: +3.00
Ability value	0.5 Ability breakdown draw_card: 0.25 RE (when_attacks x0.85) on_defeat_trigger: 0.00 RE (when_attacks x0.85)
Total value	17.5

Premier

Theoretical Δ	Exceptional	+2.3 RE Theoretical breakdown Stats (5/7): +12.0 Keyword value: +5.0 Ability value: +0.5 Expected: −12.6 (empirical) ───────────── Δ stat points: +4.91 ÷ 2 = +2.31 RE
Intrinsic		+2.3 RE
Contextual		+0.0 RE
Adjusted Δ	Significantly Overcosted	-2.6 RE Adjusted breakdown Theoretical: +2.31 RE Win rate: 45.1% Meta share: 1.2% Avg copies (MD): 2.0 Tournament RE: -2.47 Play-pattern Δ: -0.30 Meta weight: 0.33 ───────────── Adjusted: -2.55 RE

Adjusted Δ blends the theoretical score with tournament performance. This card has a 45.1% win rate across 1.2% of the meta, averaging 2.0 copies per deck. Tournament data pulls this card below its paper value.

Eternal

Theoretical Δ	Above Curve	+1.1 RE Theoretical breakdown Stats (5/7): +12.0 Keyword value: +5.0 Ability value: +0.3 Expected: −15.0 (empirical) ───────────── Δ stat points: +2.29 ÷ 2 = +1.14 RE
Intrinsic		+1.1 RE
Contextual		+0.0 RE
Adjusted Δ	Exceptional	+4.5 RE Adjusted breakdown Theoretical: +1.14 RE Win rate: 63.3% Meta share: 1.2% Avg copies (MD): 2.6 Tournament RE: +6.63 Play-pattern Δ: +0.01 Meta weight: 0.23 ───────────── Adjusted: +4.48 RE

Adjusted Δ blends the theoretical score with tournament performance. This card has a 63.3% win rate across 1.2% of the meta, averaging 2.6 copies per deck. Tournament data pushes this card above its paper value.