Nightsister Warrior

-0.4 RE 100% ⚖ Compare

Score Breakdown

Expected stat points (empirical avg)	5.1
Actual stats (2/2 power/hp)	4.0
Ability value	0.3 Ability breakdown draw_card: 0.16 RE (when_defeated x0.5)
Total value	4.3

Premier

Theoretical Δ	Fair Value	-0.4 RE Theoretical breakdown Stats (2/2): +4.0 Ability value: +0.3 Expected: −5.1 (empirical) ───────────── Δ stat points: -0.74 ÷ 2 = -0.39 RE
Intrinsic		-0.4 RE
Contextual		+0.0 RE
Adjusted Δ	Below Curve	-0.6 RE Adjusted breakdown Theoretical: -0.39 RE Win rate: 48.7% Meta share: 6.9% Avg copies (MD): 2.7 Tournament RE: -0.66 Play-pattern Δ: +0.04 Meta weight: 0.37 ───────────── Adjusted: -0.62 RE

Adjusted Δ blends the theoretical score with tournament performance. This card has a 48.7% win rate across 6.9% of the meta, averaging 2.7 copies per deck. Tournament data pulls this card below its paper value.

Eternal

Theoretical Δ	Fair Value	-0.2 RE Theoretical breakdown Stats (2/2): +4.0 Ability value: +0.1 Expected: −4.6 (empirical) ───────────── Δ stat points: -0.50 ÷ 2 = -0.25 RE
Intrinsic		-0.2 RE
Contextual		+0.0 RE
Adjusted Δ	Significantly Overcosted	-2.1 RE Adjusted breakdown Theoretical: -0.25 RE Win rate: 44.7% Meta share: 3.3% Avg copies (MD): 2.3 Tournament RE: -2.67 Play-pattern Δ: -0.08 Meta weight: 0.23 ───────────── Adjusted: -2.14 RE

Adjusted Δ blends the theoretical score with tournament performance. This card has a 44.7% win rate across 3.3% of the meta, averaging 2.3 copies per deck. Tournament data pulls this card below its paper value.